Abstracts From The Abstracts
The First in a 12-Part Series: 1977 Baseball Abstract I own all of the Baseball Abstracts by Bill James. My 1977-1979 and 1981 books are re-prints and the 1980, 1982-1988 are first editions. I ordered the 1977-1981 books at the same time, and it just happened that the 1980 edition that was sent to me was an original. The 1977-1981 Baseball Abstracts are rather crude. The pages of the first three editions were stapled using a plain card stock cover and back page. The 1980 and 1981 books were bound using a textured card stock cover and back page. All five were typed and copied with several noticeable strikeovers, white outs, and handwritten corrections throughout the pages. As noted on the inside of the back cover, "The 1977 Baseball Abstract was written and compiled by: Bill James Your suggestions and comments concerning the publication are invited." Below the Baseball Abstract title on the front cover, it reads "FEATURING 18 CATEGORIES OF STATISTICAL INFORMATION THAT YOU JUST CAN'T FIND ANYWHERE ELSE". You turn the baby-blue cover page and, boom, the first page is the beginning of the National League monthly hitting records in alphabetical order, starting with Rob Andrews of the Houston Astros. James writes: The first section of this book gives the complete month-by-month playing records of all major leaguers who appeared in 100 or more games in 1976. These records, compiled from the daily box scores carried in the newspapers, provide some interesting insights into the course of the campaign. For example, was Robin Yount, the 21-year-old Milwaukee shortstop, really strong enough to lead the league in games played? Check his monthly batting averages. The records of rookies are particularly interesting. You can "see" Hector Cruz learning to hit major league pitching, watch the league catch up with Jason Thompson. Wonder how Bill Madlock won the batting title? Look him up. Flipping to page 18 out of the 68-page book, I look up Yount's stats and his monthly batting averages are listed at .341 for April, .272 May, .269 June, .276 July, .220 August, and .206 September. Yount tied John Mayberry and Rusty Staub for the A.L. lead in games played with 161. The curiosity in me made me look up Mayberry's and Staub's records. Mayberry, who turned 28 that September, "hit" just .175 in the final month of the season. The 32-year-old Staub hit a monthly low of .268 in September, lowering his batting average to 11th in the league at .299. Underneath Yount, who is the last player listed, James asks the following trivia question: The record for RBI's by two teammates in one season is 347, by Gehrig (184) and Ruth (163) in 1931. But who holds the season record for runs scored by two members of the same team? James lists the National and American League monthly leaders in the ten basic stats (G, AB, R, H, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, SB, AVG) on the following page and the monthly team batting records on pages 20-24. He asks a second trivia question at the bottom of page 24. Who was the only pitcher ever to lead his league in most strikeouts per nine innings and fewest walks per nine innings in the same year? James provides the monthly won-lost records of pitchers on pages 25-31. The Cincinnati Reds, who were 102-60 in 1976, had seven pitchers with 11 or more wins, led by Gary Nolan with 15. Randy Jones, the N.L. Cy Young Award winner, was 18-4 at the end of July before sputtering home with a 4-10 record in August and September. The next section of the book is on stolen bases. James breaks out "the world's only stolen-bases-against statistics" for catchers and pitchers. "Lacking access to the official records of the games," James "counted stolen bases against pitchers, and catchers, starts." He states "the distortion this creates is minor for catchers, who finish most of their starts, but fairly significant for pitchers." In pointing out the importance of the catcher, James notes "there were more bases stolen against the Dodgers in the 54 games that Steve Yeager didn't start than in the 108 that he did." Yeager led the N.L. in stolen bases (51) divided by games starts (108) and was followed by Johnny Bench, Gary Carter, and Bob Boone. Yeager, Bench, Carter, and Boone were generally considered the four-best defensive catchers in the league during that era. In fact, one of the latter three catchers was awarded the N.L. Gold Glove every year from 1968-1982. Page 34, which discusses pitcher run support, attendance by pitchers, and fast and slow pitchers based on average game times, isn't listed because the text almost runs off at the bottom (with the last line on the page handwritten). Steve Carlton, who led the majors in run support in 1976 with 6.17 per start, actually was responsible for provoking this study by James when Lefty went 27-10 in 1972 for a team that was 32-87 "when he wasn't on the hill." Bert Blyleven, for what it is worth (wink, wink), had the second-lowest run support in the A.L. at 2.75 runs per game vs. a league average of 4.01. With respect to attendance, James concludes that Tom Seaver, despite comments by a New York sportswriter which triggered the study, Mark Fidrych and Jones were the only "pitchers who could definitely be said to be 'draws' in 1976." James also offers "the first actual data I've ever seen on how fast a pitcher works" and determines that "the fastest pitcher in the majors, Jim Kaat, was a staggering 42 minutes faster than the average game started by the slowest, Nelson Briles." James then offers the finest writing in his initial book when he delves into fielding statistics over the next 8 1/2 pages. ...a fielder's visible fielding range, which is his ability to move to the ball after it is hit, is vastly less important than his invisible fielding range, which is a matter of adjusting his position a step or two before the ball is hit. James also suggests we separate "fielding" in the sense of "catching" the ball from "throwing." Take, for example, the Royals' third baseman George Brett. Brett in 1976 handled 501 chances, which is a lot, but made 26 errors, which is also a lot. Looking at that record 20 years from now, almost any fan would consider that Brett had good range in the field, but rather bad hands. In point of fact George has excellent hands--as good as anybody's. What he also has is a strong but inaccurate arm. A lot of his throws to first base don't go to the first baseman. Of those 26 errors, I'd bet 20 were on throws. Why not record the fact? Why not separate fielding from throwing. Lumping the two together makes no more sense than lumping together balks and wild pitches. In the next section, James lists every major league pitcher who pitched at least 100 innings in 1976, followed by the number of home runs he gave up per 1000 batters. James states "some pitchers will surrender home runs 15 times as often as others," making the case that a pitcher's tendency to allow HR "is a major part of their pitching record, but mostly an ignored one." James proceeds to turn career records into seasonal notations, the first time I can recall seeing statistics expressed per 162 games. The following nine active players in 1976 had averaged 30 or more HR per 162 games: Hank Aaron 37 Dick Allen 33 Johnny Bench 30 Reggie Jackson 33 Dave Kingman 36 Willie McCovey 35 Frank Robinson 34 Mike Schmidt 35 Willie Stargell 34 For reasons unknown to me, James spends six pages on a baseball simulation game using a deck of cards. I believe this effort died on the vine as I don't recall reading anything more on this subject in future Abstracts. In the last section of the book, James discusses "another almost-new statistic, this one named power percentage" (or what is now more commonly referred as isolated power). "Power percentage is that part of slugging percentage which is accounted for by the extra bases; in simple terms, slugging percentage minus batting average." James informs us that "slugging percentage is a summary statistic, while power percentage is a descriptive statistic that applies to power alone." Knowing that a player has a .400 slugging average tells you nothing about what kind of player he is, neither what kind of an average hitter or how much power. He could be a .350 hitter with no power or a .230 hitter with great power. Put in its proper context, the 1977 Baseball Abstract is simply a classic. By the way, did Hector Cruz ever learn how to hit major league pitching? The journeyman outfielder-third baseman, who hit 13 HR in 1976 and only 26 more the rest of his career, retired in 1982 at the age of 29 with a career batting average of .225. Next up: 1978 Baseball Abstract. [Additional reader comments and retorts at Baseball Primer.] |
Comments
da Vinci's notebooks are to Art History as James' Abstracts are to Sabermetrics.
Those early Abstracts are pure genius in its most rawest form.
Posted by: Joe at July 10, 2004 8:13 AM
Wonderful idea and execution, Rich! Looking forward to this series.
Posted by: Avkash at July 10, 2004 10:18 AM
Thanks, Avkash. I'm looking forward to putting together a compendium of Bill James' Baseball Abstracts. I can only benefit by re-reading and reporting on these masterpieces.
Posted by: Richard at July 10, 2004 2:04 PM
I second Avkash's sentiments and look forward to more of this stuff. I've never even set eyes on the pre-'82 books. Where did you get yours?
Posted by: Jay Jaffe at July 11, 2004 6:08 PM
Rich, this is excellent. I look forward to the rest of this series. I don't know if there is any chance you can get a picture of any of the editions on here. Even if it's just the cover it'd be nice. I've never laid eyes on any of them before and I am sure there are others out there like me who are curious to see what they actually look like. Thanks.
Posted by: justin at July 11, 2004 9:47 PM
Thanks, Jay. My older brother and I ordered the 1977-1981 Abstracts directly from Bill James (or, more accurately, Susie McCarthy) in early 1983. We purchased them after the 1982 book was published but before the 1983 edition hit the bookstores.
My brother, in fact, still has the original letter signed by "Susan McCarthy" with the notation "Bill's wife" in parenthesis that accompanied the order form.
Posted by: Richard at July 11, 2004 10:17 PM
Thanks, Justin. Your idea is a good one. I'll scan the covers and include the images along with the reviews. That will make for a nice combo.
Posted by: Richard at July 11, 2004 10:29 PM
Rich, you are the m-a-n. Thanks.
Posted by: alex at July 14, 2004 10:47 AM
Great, great work Rich. My collection only goes back to the '83 Abstract and This Time Let's Not Eat The Bones. Somebody needs to re-package all the Abstracts and maybe James' stray articles as well into a box set or something.
Posted by: Crank at July 16, 2004 9:34 AM
I like these stats. I'm having trouble finding any records for most hits in a month. Can you help?
Posted by: Jeremy at August 28, 2004 8:50 PM
George Sisler (1920) and Chuck Klein (1930) share the record for the most hits in a month with 61.
As an indication of how difficult it is to get 61 hits, consider tht Ichiro Suzuki has had nine games of three or more hits this month (including two four-hit games and one five), is hitting .446 and yet is still 11 hits shy of the record going into Sunday's game on the 29th.
Posted by: Richard at August 29, 2004 11:33 AM