Pre-Winter Meetings Update
The Winter Meetings begin on Monday with league officials, club executives, player agents, writers, exhibitors, and job seekers (including players) all gathering in Orlando to play baseball's version of "Let's Make a Deal." There will be more rumors circulating Disney's Epcot Center this week than free agent signings, trades, and players selected in the Rule 5 draft. Yes, the action will be both real and imagined. More gossip will make the rounds than at a slumber party. In the meantime, teams were required to offer salary arbitration to free agents no later than yesterday. Players offered arbitration have until December 7 to accept. Unlike in years past, those who were not offered arbitration may still sign with their old teams without having to wait until May 1. Type A free agents, defined as those ranked in the top 30% of players at their positions, will cost the acquiring team a first-round pick (or a second-round choice in the case of clubs with one of the top 15 slots) in the Rule 4 draft next June. The "losing" club also receives a supplemental pick between the first and second rounds. Teams that sign Type B free agents (the next 20%) do not forfeit any picks although the "losing" club receives a "sandwich" round selection. There is no compensation for players who rank in the bottom half (formerly known as Type C free agents) under the new Collective Bargaining Agreement. Here is a list of the 25 free agents who were offered arbitration. (Note: The Rich Aurilia (2/$8M w/ SF), David Dellucci (3/$11.5M w/ CLE), Jose Guillen (1/$5M w/ SEA), Roberto Hernandez (2/$12M w/ CLE), Carlos Lee (6/$100M w/ HOU) and Dave Roberts (3/$18M w/ SF) signings had not been finalized as of the deadline.) AMERICAN LEAGUE BOSTON: Keith Foulke, rhp. NEW YORK: Ron Villone, lhp (Type B). OAKLAND: Barry Zito, lhp (Type A). SEATTLE: Gil Meche, rhp (B). TEXAS: Carlos Lee, of (A); Vicente Padilla, rhp (B). TORONTO: Ted Lilly, lhp (B). NATIONAL LEAGUE ARIZONA: Miguel Batista, rhp (B). CINCINNATI: Rich Aurilia, 3b (A); Scott Schoeneweis, lhp (B). LOS ANGELES: Julio Lugo, ss (A). MILWAUKEE: Tony Graffanino, 2b. NEW YORK: Roberto Hernandez, rhp (A); Guillermo Mota, rhp (B). PHILADELPHIA: David Dellucci, of (A). ST. LOUIS: Mark Mulder, lhp (B); Jeff Suppan, rhp (A). SAN DIEGO: Alan Embree, lhp (B); Ryan Klesko, 1b (B); Chan Ho Park, rhp (B); Dave Roberts, of (A); Todd Walker, 2b (A); David Wells, lhp (B). SAN FRANCISCO: Jason Schmidt, rhp (A). WASHINGTON: Jose Guillen, of (B). Here is the list of the 114 free agents not offered arbitration: AMERICAN LEAGUE BALTIMORE: Bruce Chen, lhp; Chris Gomez, ss; LaTroy Hawkins, rhp; Kevin Millar, 1b; Russ Ortiz, rhp; Fernando Tatis, 3b; Chris Widger, c. BOSTON: Gabe Kapler, of; Mark Loretta, 2b; Doug Mirabelli, c; Trot Nixon, of. CHICAGO: Sandy Alomar Jr., c; Dustin Hermanson, rhp; Jeff Nelson, rhp; David Riske, rhp. CLEVELAND: Aaron Boone, 3b; Lou Merloni, 2b. DETROIT: Troy Percival, rhp; Matt Stairs, of. KANSAS CITY: Paul Bako, c; Doug Mientkiewicz, 1b; Mark Redman, lhp. LOS ANGELES: Darin Erstad, of; J.C. Romero, lhp. MINNESOTA: Phil Nevin, 1b; Brad Radke, rhp; Shannon Stewart, of; Rondell White, of. NEW YORK: Miguel Cairo, 2b; Octavio Dotel, rhp; Tanyon Sturtze, rhp; Bernie Williams, of; Craig Wilson, of. OAKLAND: Steve Karsay, rhp; Jay Payton, of. SEATTLE: Eduardo Perez, 1b. TAMPA BAY: Brian Meadows, rhp; Tomas Perez, ss. TEXAS: Rod Barajas, c; Eric Young, 2b. TORONTO: Bengie Molina, c. NATIONAL LEAGUE ARIZONA: Luis Gonzalez, of. ATLANTA: Brian Jordan, of; Todd Pratt, c; John Thomson, rhp; Daryle Ward, 1b. CHICAGO: John Mabry, 1b. CINCINNATI: Ryan Franklin, rhp; Eddie Guardado, lhp; Todd Hollandsworth, of; Jason Johnson, rhp; Kent Mercker, lhp; David Weathers, rhp; Paul Wilson, rhp. COLORADO: Vinny Castilla, 3b; Mike DeJean, rhp; Ray King, lhp; Tom Martin, lhp; Jose Mesa, rhp. FLORIDA: Joe Borowski, rhp; Matt Herges, rhp; Brian Moehler, rhp. HOUSTON: Jeff Bagwell, 1b; Roger Clemens, rhp; Aubrey Huff, 3b; Andy Pettitte, lhp; Russ Springer, rhp. LOS ANGELES: Einar Diaz, c; Eric Gagne, rhp; Kenny Lofton, of; Greg Maddux, rhp; Aaron Sele, rhp. MILWAUKEE: David Bell, 3b; Jeff Cirillo, 3b; Rick Helling, rhp; Dan Kolb, rhp; Tomo Ohka, rhp. NEW YORK: Mike DiFelice, c; Cliff Floyd, of; Yusaku Iriki, rhp; Ricky Ledee, of; Darren Oliver, lhp; Steve Trachsel, rhp; Michael Tucker, rf; Chris Woodward, ss. PHILADELPHIA: Aaron Fultz, lhp; Alex S. Gonzalez, ss; Jose Hernandez, ss; Mike Lieberthal, c; Arthur Rhodes, lhp; Rick White, rhp. PITTSBURGH: Jeromy Burnitz, of; Joe Randa, 3b. ST. LOUIS: Ronnie Belliard, 2b; Jason Marquis, rhp; Jose Vizcaino, ss; Jeff Weaver, rhp; Preston Wilson, of. SAN DIEGO: Doug Brocail, rhp; Shawn Estes, lhp; Sterling Hitchcock, lhp; Mike Piazza, c; Rudy Seanez, rhp. SAN FRANCISCO: Barry Bonds, lf; Pedro Feliz, 3b; Steve Finley, cf; Todd Greene, c; Shea Hillenbrand, 1b; Steve Kline, lhp; Jamey Wright, rhp. WASHINGTON: Tony Armas Jr., rhp; Robert Fick, 1b; Ramon Ortiz, rhp. Jeff Bagwell is effectively retired so it was no surprise that the Astros failed to offer him arbitration. An argument could be made for or against offering arbitration to teammates Roger Clemens and Andy Pettitte. Houston declined in both cases, apparently unsure as to what an arbitrator might award and not being particularly concerned about the compensation in the event either or both signs elsewhere. Other big names who were not offered arbitration include Barry Bonds, Eric Gagne, Greg Maddux, Mike Piazza, and Bernie Williams. Without arbitration, Bonds will be hard-pressed to find a team willing to pay him more than $10M per year. Gagne will be lucky to do much better than Kerry Wood in terms of base salary, although I wouldn't be surprised if he was able to entice a club to give him incentives that could add up to over $5M. Given Glavine's deal, Maddux could easily ask for - and perhaps be granted - $10+M, a gamble the Dodgers were not interested in undertaking. The Padres had already declined an $8M option on Piazza and most likely didn't want to subject themselves to the whims and ways of an arbitrator. Williams will either sign with the Yankees or retire. I thought it was interesting that the Cardinals offered Mark Mulder and Jeff Suppan arbitration but not Jeff Weaver. These moves may give us an indication of who Walt Jocketty would like to keep, but it is also defensible from a strategic point of view. Mulder is more likely to come cheaper than Weaver, whereas Suppan, as a Type A free agent, could bring a first-round pick in the next amateur draft. Under the terms of J.D. Drew's contract, the Dodgers were not able to offer him arbitration. Although Drew would have been a Type A free agent, the Dodgers will not receive any compensation when he signs with his new club (rumored to be the Boston Red Sox any day). Moises Alou, SF: Signed with the NYM (1/$8.5M). Best: Mike Mussina and Aramis Ramirez. Two star players at salaries that don't look so outlandish relative to others. Hard to give the Cubs too much love, given the opt out clause that allowed Ramirez to negotiate a multi-million dollar per year raise. Worst: Danys Baez. Oh my! Craig Biggio, HOU: Re-signed with HOU (1/$5.15M). Best: Adam Kennedy. Not exciting by any means but a reasonable value. Worst: Juan Pierre and Jamie Walker. Hard to believe the Dodgers would marry Pierre when they could have dated Kenny Lofton for another year, especially with Matt Kemp in waiting. Makes you wonder if the latter might not be used as trade bait to get the bat Ned Colletti covets. Gary Bennett, STL: Re-signed with STL (1/$900K). Best: Kerry Wood. Lots of upside and very little downside. Worst: Adam Eaton certainly stands out as one of the most ridiculous signings of the offseason, at least in terms of his place in the Elias rankings. His contract also sets the floor for many of the remaining free agent starters. To stay abreast of signings and those who remain unsigned, be sure to check ESPN's Free Agent Tracker and Cot's Baseball Contracts. |
Comments
I'm surprised the Astros didn't offer arbitration to Clemens and Pettite. It might have helped to discourage them from going anywhere else. Would you give up a first round draft pick for one year or maybe 4 months of Clemens? It would at least discourage someone signing him. I wonder if there wasn't a handshake agreement not to offer arbitration.
Posted by: James T at December 2, 2006 6:45 PM
Submitted for your approval: The Texas Rangers crapped away the 16th pick (the first non-protected) of the draft for Frank Catalanotto. Let's face it, Catalanotto has hit the "So many people talking about under rating he's overrated" mark. Is giving up the 16th pick in the draft for a guy whose season high in home runs is 13 and season high in RBIs is 59? He's good at what he does for sure, but he's not an impact player.
If the Rangers don't sign a big name Type A free agent (Zito) they're going to look like fools in my opinion. Then again, when you blow your 1st rounders on guys like John Mayberry Jr. maybe it's not so bad...
Posted by: APing at December 3, 2006 3:43 AM
1. Adam Eaton was a good signing. Didn't you stat lords see he went 9-1 in 2005 before he hurt his knuckle? HA!
2. How do you stat heads rank David Eckstein? I rank him "2 titles."
Posted by: Waly at December 3, 2006 9:21 AM
Agree re Catalanotto. Similarly, Houston exchanged its first rounder (17th overall) and $12.5M for two years of Woody Williams. In terms of impact, both players are more like Type B than Type A free agents.
Many teams continue to undervalue their first-round picks. Last year, the slot money was about $1.5M for the middle of the first round. Granted, there's no guarantee that such players will become impact major leaguers, I would be willing to take a chance on them - especially at minor league salaries in the neighborhood of $50K and minimum major league salaries of $400K.
Posted by: Rich Lederer at December 3, 2006 9:27 AM
15-17th picks in the draft...
2001 - Gabe Gross, Kris Honel, Dan Denham
2002 - Scott Kazmir, Nick Swisher, Cole Hamels
2003 - Brian Anderson, Jeff Allison, David Murphy
2004 - Stephen Drew, David Purcey, Scott Elbert
2005 - Lance Broadway, Chris Volstad, CJ Henry
2006 - Chris Marrero, Jeremy Jeffress, Matt Antonelli
Kinda puts it into perspective. There's tons of talent at this level of pick...
Posted by: DaveMac at December 3, 2006 2:22 PM
"2. How do you stat heads rank David Eckstein? I rank him "2 titles.""
Oh I love rating players based on numbers on rings. From this we can clearly determine than Juan Encarnacion is better than than hundreds of players. I guess Encarnacion just has that magic winning attitude. Who is a better right fielder, Vlad Guerrero or Juan Encarnacion? Both the same age, Encarnacion has two rings, Guerrero has ZERO. I guess Encarnacion is a winner and Vlad is a LOSER.
The mention of rings should be banned.
Posted by: APing at December 4, 2006 1:58 AM
If I'm not mistaken, the Astros exchanged their first-round pick for Carlos Lee because he's higher up on the Elias food chain than is Williams.
Posted by: Geoff Young at December 4, 2006 11:43 PM
the Astros exchanged their first-round pick for Carlos Lee because he's higher up on the Elias food chain than is Williams.
Yes, you are correct. TEX will get HOU's first round pick and SD will get HOU's second round pick. As a result, TEX, which lost its first pick for signing Catalanotto, will end up moving down just one slot (from #16 to #17).
Posted by: Rich Lederer at December 5, 2006 6:43 AM