Shooters by Zones
Last week, I looked at Hitters by Zones, and I'm going to use the same format this week. My sample includes all NBA regular season games since the 2006-2007 season up to Saturday. Data from BasketballGeek. First, a crude chart showing the percentage of shots in each zone and how players fare when shooting, indicated by color. I didn't include any data on free throws, so the only inputs are missed shots, made two-point shots, and made three-point shots. Shots at the rim yield the highest return, followed closely by three pointers, specifically the corner three. Mid-range jumpers are the worst. Getting right to the leaderboards, highlighting the top five and bottom five. There are sixteen of these this time, but I’m going to again leave the commentary short and I’ll leave a spreadsheet at the end. The listed leaderboards will be limited to players with at least 50 shots in a zone, but I'm including all players in my spreadsheet, and you might just want to skip straight to that. I'm defining the side of the floor as that side you would face if you were standing on a basketball court, so the left side of the chart provided is actually the right side of the floor. Right-Corner Threes
The word on the street is that the NBA's grand market inefficiency is long-range shooters. As much as I dislike Reddick, I have to admit that he's clearly a valuable, and likely undervalued player. Parker has taken the most threes from the right corner in this time span, making his continued success more impressive. Left-Corner Threes
I'd be very interested to see what players have large differences between how they shoot from the right side of the floor vs. the left side of the floor. Have there been any public studies based on handedness and shot location? Baron Davis might want to stop shooting threes. Monta Ellis has surprisingly had the worst offensive rating in the NBA this year, though Kevin Pelton points to small sample size. Right-Wing Threes
I can't remember ever having seen Steve Nash miss a three. He's so ridiculously efficient, but I still feel like he should be shooting more of them, even though he's already taken the third most of any player over the last few years from the right wing. Left-Wing Threes
Boy, is it a good thing Josh Smith has stopped shooting 3s this year. He and Zach Randolph both. Smith and Randolph have been key parts to the Hawks' and Grizzlies' surprising success, and I like to think their much improved shot selection has played a role. I'm happy to see my man Gallo is already on the leaderboard. He's got to be the favorite in the weekend's three-point contest. And after his YouTubing of Roy Hibbert, he should be in the dunk contest too. Shades of Shawn Kemp, and Gallo's been as potent on the floor as Kemp was off it. Middle Threes
Impressive stuff from Troy Murphy. He and Andrea Bargnani stand alone in threes attempted from straight on, with Rasheed Wallace, another 6-11 big man coming a distant third. Right-Corner Mid-Range
Luke Ridnour was dead last at shooting threes from the right corner, but is fifth when he takes a few steps in. Left-Corner Mid-Range
I'm starting to get the feeling that Josh Smith can't shoot. Right-Wing Mid-Range
Now that Bruce Bowen's retired, Varejao might be my least favorite player in the NBA, so I like seeing him there. Left-Wing Mid-Range
Five Knicks/former Knicks on this list. Nate Robinson and Jamal Crawford have a whole lot of things in common. Middle Mid-Range
Isn't Pavlovic supposed to be a shooter? Right-Corner Short
Wayne Winston says that Kevin Durant and Jeff Green don't play well together. I'm surprised that Durant is inefficient from anywhere on the floor. Left-Corner Short
Wilcox has taken the tenth most shots in the league from this spot on the floor, and he is the only player to have taken at least 65 shots (up to Okur) and net less than 0.7 points per shot. Right-Wing Short
Mikki Moore is a surprisingly effective shooter from the floor, as the only player to top two leaderboards. This year, he's made 29 of his 34 shots at the rim. Left-Wing Short
You may recall that Larry Hughes had a web site devoted to his poor shooting called heylarryhughespleasestoptakingsomanybadshots. Middle Short
I'd love to know whether Ben Wallace is a good player or not. I like to think defense and rebounding can outweigh being a zero on offense. At Rim
I limited this leaderboard to players with at least 500 shots. My conclusion last week was that Albert Pujols is good, and I'll close this piece out by saying the same of LeBron James. |
Comments
Do basketball people do things like location-adjusted shooting percentage or location-adjusted points above average?
Also, it would be interesting to include points from free throws taken because of fouls in each location. Either use actual free throws made after a specific foul, a player's overall free throw percentage (my vote), or a league-average free throw percentage.
Posted by: Sky at February 11, 2010 10:33 AM
Sky, basketball people with the available data do make those adjustments. I unfortunately don't have the data handy.
Posted by: Jeremy Greenhouse at February 11, 2010 11:53 AM
Sky, I don't think there's location-adjusted shooting percentage in the NBA. Once you're too far away from the basket for a dunk or a layup, the shooting percentage is roughly constant. Players tend to shoot to the limits of their abilities and not from further.
There's a big advantage to short 3s, which is why the shooting percentage is lower from just outside the arc. But you can't build a chart like shooting in hockey or fielding in baseball.
Posted by: Hawerchuk at February 11, 2010 1:23 PM
Sky/Hawerchuk, I was referring to adjustments made for free throws and offensive rebounding rate. I don't know if there are adjustments made for shot locations similar to UZR and +/-.
Posted by: Jeremy Greenhouse at February 11, 2010 1:53 PM
Just nitpicking, but Mikki Moore isn't the only one to top 2 leaderboards. Anthony Morrow leads both left and right wing threes.
Posted by: Lane at February 15, 2010 2:17 PM