Paying Attention to the Other Races in the Final Week
Although interest in batting average, home runs, and runs batted in has waned over the past decade as more advanced metrics have emerged, these statistics are far from obsolete. Not only are AVG, HR, and RBI still the three most commonly cited stats involving hitters on radio/TV and in newsprint, but they were even played up in the new media in late August and early September as so-called statheads wrote about the possibilities of a Triple Crown winner this year. While not as prestigious as winning the Triple Crown, there are a couple of players who are on the verge of setting "records" with respect to these stats. Specifically, if Carlos Pena and Mark Reynolds wind up hitting under .200, one or both will have the dubious distinction of hitting the most home runs or driving in the most runs in a season with a batting average below the Mendoza Line. Going into tonight's play, Pena is hitting .198 with 27 HR and 81 RBI. Reynolds has outdone Pena slightly, hitting .199 with 32 HR and 84 RBI. Prior to this year, no player has ever accumulated more than 29 HR or 64 RBI while "hitting" under .200. Let's take a look at where Pena and Reynolds stand in HR and RBI among those failing to crack the .200 mark. Here are the leaders, if you will, in HR: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL HOMERUNS YEAR HR AVG 1 Mark Reynolds 2010 32 .199 2 Mark McGwire 2001 29 .187 3 Carlos Pena 2010 27 .198 4 Rob Deer 1991 25 .179 5 Ruben Rivera 1999 23 .195 6 Mike Schmidt 1973 18 .196 7 Steve Balboni 1990 17 .192 T8 Gorman Thomas 1986 16 .187 T8 Shane Andrews 1999 16 .195 T8 Tim Laudner 1987 16 .191 AMERICAN LEAGUE HOMERUNS YEAR HR AVG 1 Carlos Pena 2010 27 .198 2 Rob Deer 1991 25 .179 3 Steve Balboni 1990 17 .192 T4 Tim Laudner 1987 16 .191 T4 Gorman Thomas 1986 16 .187 6 Dean Palmer 1991 15 .187 T7 Reggie Jackson 1983 14 .194 T7 Harmon Killebrew 1975 14 .199 T9 Eric Soderholm 1972 13 .188 T9 Roger Repoz 1971 13 .199 T9 Deron Johnson 1974 13 .171 NATIONAL LEAGUE HOMERUNS YEAR HR AVG 1 Mark Reynolds 2010 32 .199 2 Mark McGwire 2001 29 .187 3 Ruben Rivera 1999 23 .195 4 Mike Schmidt 1973 18 .196 5 Shane Andrews 1999 16 .195 6 Dave Kingman 1983 13 .198 T7 Darren Daulton 1991 12 .196 T7 Todd Hundley 2001 12 .187 T7 Bob Tillman 1969 12 .195 T7 Bob Robertson 1972 12 .193 And now RBI: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL RBI YEAR RBI AVG 1 Mark Reynolds 2010 84 .199 2 Carlos Pena 2010 81 .198 T3 Mark McGwire 2001 64 .187 T3 Rob Deer 1991 64 .179 5 Harry Lyons 1888 63 .194 6 Pedro Garcia 1974 54 .199 7 Coco Laboy 1970 53 .199 T8 Tom Tresh 1968 52 .195 T8 Mike Schmidt 1973 52 .196 10 Shane Andrews 1999 51 .195 AMERICAN LEAGUE RBI YEAR RBI AVG 1 Carlos Pena 2010 81 .198 2 Rob Deer 1991 64 .179 3 Pedro Garcia 1974 54 .199 4 Tom Tresh 1968 52 .195 5 Reggie Jackson 1983 49 .194 T6 John Gochnauer 1903 48 .185 T6 Todd Cruz 1983 48 .199 T8 Ed Kirkpatrick 1966 44 .192 T8 Harmon Killebrew 1975 44 .199 T10 Deron Johnson 1974 43 .171 T10 Tim Laudner 1987 43 .191 NATIONAL LEAGUE RBI YEAR RBI AVG 1 Mark Reynolds 2010 84 .199 2 Mark McGwire 2001 64 .187 3 Coco Laboy 1970 53 .199 4 Mike Schmidt 1973 52 .196 5 Shane Andrews 1999 51 .195 6 Ruben Rivera 1999 48 .195 7 Germany Smith 1890 47 .191 8 Nick Esasky 1984 45 .193 9 Monte Cross 1901 44 .197 10 Darren Daulton 1991 42 .196 Three Hall of Famers grace these lists: Reggie Jackson, Harmon Killebrew, and Mike Schmidt. Jackson was on his way down, Schmidt was on his way up, and Killebrew accomplished this feat in his last season. Mark McGwire knew it was time to go when he hit .187 while clubbing 29 HR in his farewell campaign in 2001. Dave Kingman, he of 442 career home runs (the fifth-most of any hitter on these lists), hit .198 with 13 HR in 1983 before jacking at least 30 dingers in each of his final three seasons. While far short of Jackson (139 OPS+), Killebrew (143), Schmidt (147), and McGwire (162), the 32-year-old Pena (123) is producing at a higher clip than all of the other hitters listed above, including Kingman (115) and Gorman Thomas (114). Reynolds (108), on the other hand, appears to be heading down the path of Rob Deer (109) and fellow third baseman Dean Palmer (107), who flamed out after his age-31 season. The 27-year old may not be long for a starting assignment in the majors if he continues to strike out over 200 times per season without Gold Glove-caliber fielding or a batting average on balls in play (BABIP) that rivals his 2007-2009 mark of .343 (vs. .255 in 2010). Meanwhile, Reynolds is a cinch to become "the first regular player to strike out more times in a season than his batting average." In his defense, you have to be pretty good — or perhaps have been good — to even set such records. While your friends are paying attention to the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays or the San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres, make sure you don't forget about the triumphs of Carlos Pena and Mark Reynolds. Note: Thanks to Lee Sinins and his Complete Baseball Encyclopedia for the lists. |
Comments
Unless I'm reading it wrong, Rob Deer had a career OPS+ of 109, not 124. His last season he was at 124 when he only played 25 games. Therefore, Reynolds is a lot more like Rob Deer than Pena.
Posted by: Izzy at September 28, 2010 8:52 PM
You're reading it right, Izzy. I have reworked the section about Pena and Reynolds as it relates to OPS+. Thanks.
Posted by: Rich Lederer at September 28, 2010 9:25 PM
There is a good chance that Reynolds is done for the year with a thumb injury.
Posted by: Anon at September 29, 2010 6:14 PM